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Christopher.Parker


NovoCure's Revenue Generation and Market Expansion Plans

2023-07-30

NovoCure recently held a call meeting to discuss their first quarter 2023 performance and present the Phase 3 pivotal LUNAR trial results in non-small cell lung cancer. The meeting highlighted the company's mission to extend the lives of cancer patients and their successful clinical trials, as well as their upcoming presentation at the American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting.

During the meeting, the company focused on the importance of revenue as the ultimate goal of the business. They explained that revenue is calculated by multiplying the number of active patients by the net price per month and the number of months in the period. This indicates that revenue generation is a top priority for the company.

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Another crucial topic discussed was the need to anchor to the core map when modeling revenue. By adhering to the core map, the company aims to ensure consistency and efficiency in revenue generation.

The meeting also emphasized the significance of tracking green shoots for prescriptions in the U.S. This metric provides insights into the company's market penetration and customer demand.

Additionally, the recovery in Germany was highlighted as a significant key performance indicator (KPI). The progress of the recovery in Germany is expected to have a positive impact on the net price at a global level.

The company's outlook for the quarter/year includes expectations for Q1 performance based on factors such as active patients, net price per month, and the number of months in the period. The company anticipates that the tailwind from age claims will not continue at the same pace as previous years in 2023. However, there are indications of potential positive developments in the U.S. market, specifically in terms of prescriptions.

The company plans to continue conducting clinical trials in various indications and has upcoming milestones for the PANOVA-3 and INNOVATE-3 trials.

The market outlook for NovoCure is positive as they expect to release data indicating progress in their patient follow-up period. There have been no changes in revenue expectations, but there has been an adjustment to the company's international market franchise structure, specifically in Germany. Germany is now treated as a separate line item, separate from the EMEA region. Japan is the only active market outside of EMEA and the U.S. The company is preparing for the commercial launches of new indications, including lung, ovarian, and potentially pancreatic. They are also focused on geographic expansion and increasing scripts. The launch of their next-generation arrays has been successful in Austria and Sweden, and they plan to roll it out across Europe and seek regulatory approval in the U.S. Overall, the company believes they are on a positive trajectory.

The participants of the call included Ingrid Goldberg, Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations; Bill Doyle, Executive Chairman; Asaf Danziger, Chief Executive Officer; Ashley Cordova, Chief Financial Officer; Greg Fraser, Analyst from Truist Securities; and Frank Leonard, President.

In conclusion, NovoCure's recent call meeting provided updates on various aspects of the company's operations and future plans. The company emphasized the importance of revenue generation, core map alignment, and tracking prescriptions in the U.S. They also highlighted the recovery in Germany as a significant indicator of their overall financial performance. With upcoming milestones in clinical trials and plans for geographic expansion, NovoCure remains optimistic about their trajectory in the market.