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Christopher.Parker


Dollar General's Strategies to Overcome Challenges and Drive Growth

2023-07-30

Dollar General held its first-quarter 2023 earnings conference call on June 1, 2023, where CEO Jeff Owen addressed the company's revised guidance and discussed strategies to overcome challenges in the macroeconomic environment. Despite these obstacles, Dollar General remains optimistic about achieving strong and sustainable growth.

During the meeting, one of the most significant topics discussed was the company's response to changing customer behavior. CEO Jeff Owen acknowledged that customer spending was initially impacted by external factors in March but started to recover in April and May. To address this, Dollar General is taking action to ensure affordability and improve the overall shopping experience for customers. The company is adjusting pricing on items that matter most to customers and increasing labor hour investment in stores. These initiatives are expected to drive traffic and enhance the overall shopping experience. Additionally, Dollar General is making progress on strategic initiatives and has added a new executive to focus on core business execution, demonstrating its commitment to meeting the changing needs of its customers.

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The market outlook for Dollar General poses challenges due to headwinds impacting top-line performance. While the company has experienced positive comp sales and gained market share, there are concerns about an increasingly challenging shrink environment. In response, Dollar General plans to provide more affordable solutions and lower prices on targeted items. The company also aims to reduce costs and pursue efficiencies in its cost structure. Dollar General is refining its inventory management process and optimizing capital expenditures to maintain flexibility. Expansion plans for their pOpshelf stores will be moderated in 2023, with approximately 90 stores set to open.

The key drivers of Dollar General's business include the macroeconomic environment, gross margin, labor investment, customer focus, and historical performance. The company plans to enhance its supply chain efficiencies, improve its private brand offerings, and optimize global sourcing. Dollar General also intends to execute real estate projects, such as opening new stores, remodeling existing stores, and relocating stores. The company will focus on larger store formats and remodel stores in the DGTP format. Additionally, Dollar General aims to expand into Mexico and leverage technology to enhance convenience and access for customers through digital initiatives.

The company's outlook for the fiscal year 2023 is more challenging than anticipated, primarily due to the impact of the macroeconomic environment on customer spending levels and behavior. As a result, Dollar General has revised its outlook for the year. The revised outlook includes a net sales growth in the range of approximately 3.5% to 5% and same-store sales growth in the range of approximately 1% to 2%. The company expects a decline in earnings per share (EPS) in the range of approximately 8% to flat. To address these challenges, Dollar General plans to reduce capital spending.

Dollar General's capital spending plans for fiscal year 2023 are expected to be in the range of $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion, reflecting a revision from the previous expectation. The revised plans consider the impact of significant inflation in the cost of certain building materials, construction of new distribution centers, and continued investment in strategic initiatives and the core business. The company will continue to evaluate its capital expenditures and has reduced spending in a prudent manner while prioritizing the needs of the business and supporting ongoing growth. Furthermore, Dollar General has decided not to repurchase shares in 2023, contrary to the previous expectation.

The participants of the Dollar General Q1 2023 earnings call included Kevin Walker - Vice President, Investor Relations; Jeff Owen - Chief Executive Officer; John Garratt - President; and Kelly Dilts - Chief Financial Officer. During the call, Dollar General discussed its first-quarter results, updated outlook for 2023, and highlighted the progress made in improving execution in distribution centers and stores. Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, the company expressed confidence in its ability to deliver strong and sustainable growth in the future. Dollar General emphasized its unique position at the intersection of value and convenience, aiming to better serve customers and provide them with affordable items.

The meeting also highlighted Dollar General's mission of serving others and its commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) efforts. Additionally, the retirement of John Garratt and the promotion of Kelly Dilts to chief financial officer were acknowledged, showcasing the company's dedication to leadership development and succession planning.