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John.Foster


ConocoPhillips: Record Production, Future Plans, and Shareholder Returns

2024-03-05

ConocoPhillips, a prominent energy company, had a productive meeting where key achievements and future plans were discussed. Led by Ryan Lance, the Chairman and CEO, the company showcased its success in various areas of the business.

In the fourth quarter of 2023, ConocoPhillips reached record production levels and achieved a preliminary reserve replacement ratio of 123%. Notable advancements were highlighted by Ryan Lance, including the progress in the global LNG strategy, particularly the final investment decision on the Willow project in Alaska and the acquisition of the remaining 50% of Surmont.

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The company's focus on a Triple Mandate, which involves delivering returns to shareholders, achieving record production, and maintaining a diversified portfolio, was reiterated. Strategic initiatives such as advancing the global LNG strategy, final investment decision at Port Arthur, and progress on the Willow project in Alaska were emphasized.

ConocoPhillips planned to return $11 billion to shareholders in 2023, surpassing their commitment of greater than 30% annual through-the-cycle returns. Additionally, the company aimed for a 50% to 60% reduction in GHG emissions intensity from a 2016 baseline and received the Gold Standard Pathway designation from the Oil and Gas Initiative Methane Partnership 2.0.

Looking ahead to 2024, ConocoPhillips announced plans to distribute $9 billion to shareholders and a VROC of $0.20 per share for the first quarter of 2024. The company generated $2.40 per share in adjusted earnings in the fourth quarter.

In terms of financial outlook, ConocoPhillips maintained an effective cash tax rate range of 33% to 34% and a full-year guidance range for capital spending of $11 billion to $11.5 billion. The company focused on managing key variables year-over-year, including deflation benefits in the Lower 48 and strategic investments in projects like Willow and Canada.

ConocoPhillips aimed to uphold a strong balance sheet, with a net debt-to-CFO ratio of 0.5 turns. The company's free cash flow breakeven point at mid-cycle prices was around $35 WTI, with adjustments over the 10-year plan to cover dividends.

During the earnings call, discussions revolved around the company's distribution plans for 2024, operational efficiency, and cost management efforts. The mix of distributions for 2024 shifted towards buybacks, with approximately 60% of planned distributions allocated to buybacks.

Overall, ConocoPhillips demonstrated significant progress in financial performance, distribution plans, operational efficiency, and international growth during the meeting. With a commitment to delivering value to shareholders, achieving production milestones, and maintaining a diversified portfolio, the company continues to solidify its position as a leader in the energy sector.