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Robert.Anderson


Southwest Airlines: Positive Outlook for Revenues and Employee Compensation

2023-07-30

Southwest Airlines held its first quarter 2023 conference call, where executives discussed the company's financial performance and future outlook. One of the key topics of discussion was the negotiation of a tentative agreement with the TWU 550, representing the company's meteorologists.

During the meeting, Southwest Airlines expressed a positive market outlook, highlighting that they have reached agreements with the majority of their work groups and are in ongoing negotiations with the remaining groups. The company is focused on finalizing these deals to increase employee compensation. Their financial results and guidance already reflect the estimated raises for employees. Additionally, the company has been revising its CASM (Cost per Available Seat Mile) due to factors such as inflation and labor accruals. They have accounted for inflation and labor rates based on industry benchmarks, with some additional inflation observed in maintenance costs. However, the company expects to have a clearer view of their capacity set after reducing their capacity expectation. Overall, Southwest Airlines aims to improve employee compensation and effectively manage costs.

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The key drivers of the company's business are its capacity plan and Net Promoter Score (NPS). Southwest Airlines emphasized the importance of their capacity plan, which includes factors like aircraft deliveries, flight instructors, pilots, and aircraft availability. These elements are crucial for the company's growth and expansion plans. By adjusting schedules based on these constraints, the company aims to balance its capacity with demand. Furthermore, Southwest Airlines focuses on measuring and enhancing its NPS, a measure of customer satisfaction and loyalty. Improving the customer experience, such as through enhanced Wi-Fi and larger overhead bins, is believed to positively impact NPS. The company's growth and success are closely tied to its capacity planning and ability to deliver a positive customer experience.

Regarding product and service plans, Southwest Airlines intends to expand its vacation business and offer merchandise vacation packages to its digital platform customers. The company continuously studies and surveys its customers to understand their preferences and make enhancements based on their feedback. While there are no immediate plans for a differentiated cabin product or assigned seating, Southwest Airlines regularly works on ancillary services. In the past, they have added features like power outlets, larger bins, and improved Wi-Fi based on customer demand.

During the meeting, the most important Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) discussed were the Net Promoter Score (NPS) and the capacity plan. Southwest Airlines tracks NPS as a measure of customer loyalty and satisfaction, aiming to improve these scores on a weekly and daily basis. The NPS scores showed improvement throughout the first quarter, reflecting the airline's operational performance and enhancements to its products and services. The capacity plan was also a significant topic, with Southwest Airlines transitioning from being pilot-constrained to aircraft-constrained due to reductions in Boeing deliveries.

Looking ahead, Southwest Airlines expressed a positive outlook for the quarter and year. Despite a net loss in the first quarter, the company experienced a strong rebound in revenue trends in March, resulting in record first-quarter revenues. They mentioned that travel demand remained strong, and solid profits are expected for the quarter and year. However, they acknowledged the uncertain economic environment and tough year-over-year revenue comparisons in the second quarter. The company also mentioned near-term cost pressures but remains focused on effectively managing cost increases and maintaining their competitive cost position.

The call meeting was attended by a range of analysts, reporters, and company executives, indicating a diverse group of individuals interested in Southwest Airlines' performance and future prospects.