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David.Mitchell


Numinus Expands in Psychedelic Sector, Eyes Revenue Growth and Exclusivity

2023-07-25

Numinus, a company operating in the psychedelic sector, held an earnings call meeting to discuss various topics, including the ketamine-assisted therapy market and their expansion plans in the United States and Canada. The meeting highlighted the potential for exclusivity and strong demand in this market. Payton Nyquvest, the company's representative, concluded the meeting by announcing the upcoming reporting of fiscal fourth-quarter and year-end 2023 results.

During the call, management expressed confidence in Numinus' position within the psychedelic sector and projected significant revenue and margin growth for the future. They emphasized their growing network of clinic locations and their goal of becoming the preferred partner for drug developers and research organizations. The approval of MDMA-assisted therapy in the U.S. next year was identified as a potential driver of revenue and margin growth. Numinus also aims to expand its licensing and partnership model while optimizing operations across its existing network of wellness clinics. Additionally, the company is actively exploring ways to reduce costs.

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Revenue growth, optimizing cost of goods sold (COGS) and operating expenses (OpEx), and the progress in the rollout of their licensing program were identified as key drivers for Numinus. The company is focused on initiatives to drive revenue growth and refine operating expenditures in support of their clinics and Controlled Substances License for Research (CCR). They anticipate modest revenue growth and gross margin expansion while also seeking opportunities to reduce expenses. Numinus is prioritizing which sites to expand into first, considering the growing demand for their services, particularly in preparation for MDMA-assisted therapy. The company has also formed a partnership with Healing MAPS, which is expected to bring value to Numinus.

Regarding product and service expansion, Numinus plans to identify geographies with unmet demand for services and focus on full-time packages to retain practitioners. They are also considering offering MDMA-assisted therapy as a service and anticipate implementing it quickly after approval. The company may seek exclusivity for the MDMA trial opportunity in Canada and explore replicating it in the United States. Additionally, Numinus aims to expand training opportunities for practitioners in both Canada and the United States.

During the meeting, several important numbers were mentioned. These include an EPS of -$0.02, revenue of $4.57 million, and a year-over-year revenue growth of 707.94%.

Although the exact evolution of the competitive landscape was not explicitly discussed, some hints can be inferred from the meeting. Numinus' plans for expansion in terms of geographies and services suggest a potential increase in competition. The company's emphasis on being an attractive employer for mental health practitioners indicates a focus on practitioner retention. Furthermore, Numinus' involvement in clinical trials for MDMA-assisted therapy may give them a competitive advantage in this specific therapy area. While the potential for exclusivity was mentioned, it was not explicitly stated for the U.S. market. Overall, these factors suggest that the competitive landscape may be evolving as Numinus pursues its expansion plans and focuses on specific therapy areas.

Looking ahead, Numinus has a positive outlook for the quarter and year. The company expects significant revenue growth and margin expansion, particularly after the anticipated approval of MDMA-assisted therapy in the U.S. They believe that future pricing of this therapy and revenues from practitioner training will contribute meaningfully to their financial growth in the coming years. Numinus is also focused on growing its Numinus Network licensing and partnership model, optimizing operations, reducing costs, and demonstrating financial discipline. Ultimately, the company aims to achieve positive cash flow and profitability as quickly as possible.

The management team highlighted the progress made on strategic initiatives during the meeting. Numinus is positioning itself as a leader in clinical infrastructure and practitioner training, which will benefit from the expected approval of MDMA-assisted therapy in 2024. The company's revenue-producing business lines experienced meaningful growth in the third quarter, with the wellness clinics seeing a 5.5% increase in revenue compared to the previous quarter. Additionally, Numinus is actively working on optimizing underperforming clinic locations and expanding its presence in clinical research.

In conclusion, Numinus' earnings call meeting provided insights into their plans for expansion in the psychedelic sector, particularly in the ketamine-assisted therapy market. The company is optimistic about future revenue and margin growth, with a focus on optimizing operations, reducing costs, and becoming a preferred partner for drug developers and research organizations. As Numinus prepares for the potential approval of MDMA-assisted therapy, they are strategically positioning themselves in the market and exploring opportunities for exclusivity.