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Natalie.Sullivan


Allbirds: Driving Profitability and Growth

2023-08-10

Allbirds, a company focused on long-term profitability, held its earnings call meeting to discuss its strategic initiatives and financial performance. The meeting saw the participation of various analysts and investors, who provided valuable insights and analysis.

During the meeting, Allbirds emphasized its commitment to exploring transitions and working in the right areas to achieve its goals. The company's primary focus was on driving sustained and durable profit for the future chapter of Allbirds.

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The market outlook for the company was cautious as it underwent extensive transformation work. Allbirds aimed to rightsize inventory and drive growth in 2024 and beyond. It projected a revenue range of $56 million to $61 million for Q3 2023, with a year-over-year decline of 16% to 23%. The adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter was expected to be between $20 million to $23 million. Allbirds anticipated that shifting to a distributor model in Canada and South Korea would improve working capital and profitability. The transformation plan aimed to reignite growth, improve capital efficiency, and drive profitability, with a strong focus on aggressively managing inventory, cash, and costs.

The key drivers of Allbirds' business included building infrastructure for the wholesale channel, driving sell-through and margin, hitting seasonal selling windows, cautiously exploring category and brand extension, and focusing on international business growth.

In terms of product and service, Allbirds planned to release new products in the second half of the year, such as the Wool Runner in November and the Tree Flyer 2. The company also aimed to adopt a more gender-differentiated approach and revitalize its core franchise. Regarding marketing expenses, Allbirds had managed trade-offs between markdowns and marketing cadence, resulting in a reduction in spend in Q1 and Q2, but an expected modest uptick in Q4.

The competitive landscape for Allbirds was evolving, and the company actively worked to expand its presence in the wholesale market and compete with other brands. It strategically tested the golf market before committing further, demonstrating awareness of competition in that industry. Additionally, Allbirds' international business had been outpacing its domestic business.

During the meeting, the company highlighted several key performance indicators (KPIs) that were crucial to its success. These included adjusted EBITDA, cash flow, and store profitability. Allbirds aimed to achieve profitability on a calendar-year basis by ensuring positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year. Positive cash flow by the end of 2025 was another goal, indicating the company's ability to generate more cash inflows than outflows. Allbirds also emphasized the importance of its store fleet being profitable on a four-wall basis, focusing on factors such as sales, expenses, and operational efficiency to contribute to overall profitability and enhance the customer experience.

Allbirds provided a cautious outlook for the third quarter of 2023. The company anticipated higher working capital needs in Q3 compared to Q2 but expected a moderating trend in Q4. It projected a revenue range of $56 million to $61 million for Q3, representing year-over-year comparisons of negative 23% to negative 16%. The adjusted EBITDA loss was expected to be in the range of $20 million to $23 million. Allbirds also mentioned its planned shift to a distributor model in Canada and South Korea, which it believed would benefit working capital and profitability in those markets. More details on these transitions and their impact on the financial model would be provided in the next earnings report.

Allbirds reported progress on several strategic initiatives during the meeting. The company focused on financial and inventory planning, resulting in a decrease in year-over-year basis. It actively engaged in strategic sourcing efforts and expected to achieve cost savings. Allbirds successfully transitioned select overseas regions to a third-party distributor model, demonstrating positive strides in its strategic initiatives.

The participants of the call, including Christine Green, Joey Zwillinger, Annie Mitchell, Amanda Douglas, Alex Straton, Cristina Fernandez, James Duffy, Bob Drbul, Edward Yruma, Dylan Carden, and Alex Douglas, played a crucial role in discussing the company's performance and future prospects. Their insights and analysis would likely shape the market's perception of Allbirds and influence investment decisions.

In conclusion, Allbirds' earnings call meeting provided valuable information about the company's efforts to drive sustained and durable profit in the future. The company's focus on transformation, strategic initiatives, and key performance indicators showcased its commitment to long-term profitability and growth.