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James.Roberts


Optimizing Costs, Diversifying Portfolio: Alliance Resource Partners' Path to Success

2023-07-30

Alliance Resource Partners held its call meeting to discuss the company's second quarter 2023 financial and operating results. The executives expressed gratitude for the support of the participants and announced a future call scheduled for late July.

During the meeting, one of the most interesting topics discussed was the factors impacting the company's costs and pricing. The executives highlighted several key factors, including wages, oil prices, steel prices, and other consumables. They noted that oil and steel prices have decreased, which could potentially have a positive impact on the company's costs. This suggests that Alliance Resource Partners may be able to reduce its expenses and improve its profitability.

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Another noteworthy topic discussed was the dislocation in average selling prices in different markets. The executives specifically mentioned the Mettiki mine, which serves both the metallurgical and steam markets, the MC Mining product that is attractive for the export market, and the Tunnel Ridge operation, which is currently sold out. This indicates that the company has a diversified product portfolio and is able to cater to different market segments, which helps mitigate risks and maximize revenue.

The company's acquisition gas royalty was also discussed during the meeting. The executives anticipate this royalty to be around $30 million based on anticipated ground game acquisitions. The pacing of these acquisitions is dependent on the opportunities that present themselves. This suggests that Alliance Resource Partners is actively seeking growth opportunities and is willing to invest in strategic acquisitions to expand its business.

Overall, the deep-dive analysis of the factors impacting the company's costs and pricing reveals that Alliance Resource Partners is focused on optimizing its cost structure, diversifying its product portfolio, and pursuing growth opportunities through acquisitions. These actions demonstrate the company's commitment to improving its financial performance and positioning itself for long-term success.

In terms of the market outlook, Alliance Resource Partners remains positive. The company expects its domestic customer base to remain stable, with no significant changes anticipated in the near future. While some customers may retire plants in the future, the remaining coal plants are expected to increase their capacity factors, ensuring consistent coal volumes. Additionally, the company has secured additional capacity at ports, allowing for potential growth in exports. The CEO mentioned that they have the logistics capacity to ship close to 12 million tons if there is demand.

Regarding distribution and capital return, Alliance Resource Partners plans to maintain its current quarterly distribution and aims for a distribution coverage ratio of 2.2 to 2.5 times. The primary focus for capital return is currently on buying back bonds.

The key drivers of the business discussed during the meeting include wages, oil prices, steel prices, average selling prices, market demand, natural gas prices, volume of operations, longwall moves, acquisition opportunities, and ground game acquisitions. These factors impact the company's costs, revenues per ton, and overall financial performance.

Looking ahead, Alliance Resource Partners has a positive outlook for the quarter and year. The company has the capacity to meet high demand and does not anticipate significant changes in its customer base for the next five years. It aims to maintain its current distribution coverage and expects a coverage ratio of 2.2 to 2.5 times. The company's primary focus for capital return is on buying back its bonds.

The participants mentioned in the meeting outcome include Cary Marshall (Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer), Joe Craft (Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer), Nathan Martin from The Benchmark Company, Mark Reichman from Noble Capital Markets, Dave Storms from Stonegate Capital Partners, and David Marsh from Singular Research. This diverse group of participants, including key executives and analysts, highlights the importance of the call and the interest surrounding Alliance Resource Partners' second-quarter 2023 financial and operating results.

In conclusion, Alliance Resource Partners' call meeting provided valuable insights into the company's financial performance and outlook. The company is focused on optimizing costs, diversifying its product portfolio, and pursuing growth opportunities through strategic acquisitions. With a positive market outlook and a commitment to maintaining distribution coverage and buying back bonds, Alliance Resource Partners is positioning itself for long-term success in the industry.