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Benjamin.Davis


Altria Group's Marlboro brand faces challenges in widening price gaps and market share

2023-07-30

Altria Group held its 2023 first-quarter earnings conference call, where the company's management discussed its business results, leading brands, pending acquisitions, and future goals. The meeting covered several important topics, with a focus on the first-quarter business results.

One of the most interesting discussions revolved around Altria's pricing strategy and promotional spend. Analyst Bonnie Herzog expressed concerns about the widening price gaps and its impact on Marlboro's market share. CEO Billy Gifford acknowledged the challenges faced by Marlboro and discussed the adjustments made in promotional spend at the local level. These adjustments targeted areas where Marlboro menthol faced increased competition. Gifford also mentioned adjustments within the Marlboro franchise to address economic pressure faced by consumers and keep them engaged with the brand.

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The market outlook for Altria appeared challenging, with a decline in shipment volumes in the smokeable segment, primarily driven by a decline in cigarette volumes. The industry as a whole also experienced volume declines due to higher inflation and adverse financial conditions. However, the company believed that volume declines would moderate over time as the macroeconomic environment stabilized. The discount segment saw growth, indicating some smokers were trading down due to financial constraints. Despite challenges, Altria believed Marlboro remained the aspirational brand in the category and retained the majority of its share.

During the meeting, key drivers of Altria's business were discussed, including debt management, shareholder value, a share repurchase program, and consumer pressures. The company actively managed its debt and retired a significant amount of notes. They were committed to creating long-term shareholder value through capital returns, including dividend payments and a progressive dividend growth goal. Altria also had a share repurchase program in place. The impact of consumer pressures, such as high inflation, rising interest rates, increased debt, and declining savings rates, was acknowledged.

While specific details about the evolving competitive landscape were not provided, insights could be inferred. The CEO mentioned the challenging environment for companies in the cigarette industry due to secular declines and fluctuations in macroeconomic conditions. Adjustments at the local level and a focus on maximizing profitability with the Marlboro brand indicated a need for stability in a competitive market. The impact of the California menthol ban and the company's international expansion efforts with heated tobacco capsules also suggested regulatory changes and strategic moves to explore new markets.

The meeting highlighted several important key performance indicators (KPIs). The debt-to-EBITDA ratio, reported as 2.1 at the end of the first quarter, indicated the company's ability to manage its debt obligations. Altria's commitment to creating long-term shareholder value was demonstrated through significant capital returns, including approximately $1.7 billion in dividends paid during the first quarter and a progressive dividend growth goal. The share repurchase program, with $1 billion remaining as of March 31st, indicated confidence in the company's future performance. Cigarette volumes were also mentioned as an important KPI, providing insights into consumer demand and market share.

Altria's outlook for the quarter and year was positive. The company reported strong earnings growth in the first quarter and highlighted resilient performance from its leading brands. They were off to a strong start and believed their businesses were on track to deliver against full-year plans. Progress on strategic initiatives, including pending acquisitions and the development of smoke-free products, demonstrated Altria's commitment to creating long-term shareholder value and managing their financial position.

Participants in the earnings call included Mac Livingston, Vice President of Investor Relations; Billy Gifford, Chief Executive Officer; and Sal Mancuso, Chief Financial Officer. They discussed Altria's first-quarter business results, highlighting the strong performance of their tobacco businesses and progress towards their vision. Various aspects of the tobacco industry were discussed, including the impact of inflation and gas prices on cigarette volumes, the growth of oral nicotine pouch products, the performance of the Helix brand, the decline in e-vapor volumes, and the pending acquisition of NJOY. The regulatory environment and the company's optimism about harm reduction and the FDA's progress in tobacco operations were also discussed.

In conclusion, Altria Group's first-quarter earnings conference call provided insights into the company's business results, strategic initiatives, and key performance indicators. Despite challenges in the industry, Altria remained focused on maximizing profitability, retaining market share, and creating long-term shareholder value. The company's outlook was positive, with strong earnings growth and progress towards their vision.