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David.Mitchell


CVS Health's Plans for Medicare Advantage and Exchange Business

2023-08-04

Executives and analysts gathered for a call meeting to discuss the financial performance and outlook of the company. Despite facing challenges, the company expressed confidence in its ability to deliver strong results and discussed plans to maintain momentum in the future.

One of the most interesting topics discussed in the meeting was the company's progress and investments in improving the performance of their Medicare Advantage (MA) plans and the exchange business. The President and CEO, Karen Lynch, provided an update on their efforts to enhance Stars performance, a quality rating system used by CMS to assess MA plans. Lynch highlighted significant progress in remediation efforts and contract diversification strategy. However, the ultimate determining factor for success would be the CMS cut point, which would be known in October.

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The Executive VP and CFO, Shawn Guertin, discussed the positive outlook for the exchange business. He mentioned that both revenue and utilization were in line with expectations. With a 1 million member book and potential revenue of $5 billion this year, the exchange business had the opportunity to become a profit contributor for the company. Guertin emphasized the benefit of achieving scale quickly.

The company's market outlook was uncertain due to various factors, including Medicare Advantage uncertainty, a potentially weakening consumer environment, reduced retail contributions from COVID, and plans to accelerate Oak Street clinic growth. As a result, the company adjusted its 2024 earnings per share target and no longer believed investors should rely on its 2025 target. However, the company remained confident in its long-term strategy and aimed to become the leading health solutions company for consumers.

The key drivers of the business included restructuring charges, pharmacy services outperformance, Medicare Advantage performance, PCW and consumer demand, and Oak Street acceleration.

The company's plans for its product/service included driving the lowest net cost for customers through its pharmacy benefit management (PBM), transitioning its health plan business with a focus on pricing discipline, targeting the employer business for growth, leveraging its CVS Health assets to offer a differentiated value proposition, and implementing a biosimilar strategy.

Based on the information provided, it was difficult to determine the exact details of how the competitive landscape was evolving. However, the company was focused on driving the lowest net cost in the pharmacy benefit management (PBM) category and believed they offered the best PBM operating model in terms of cost and service levels. They had success in winning national employer accounts and enterprise accounts, particularly in partnership with Aetna. Additionally, the company had a planned approach to launching biosimilars and had a track record of delivering savings in the biosimilar-like market. Overall, it appeared that the company was actively working to maintain a competitive position in the industry.

The company's outlook for the quarter/year was positive based on the information provided. The company experienced an increase in store sales, maintained a strong liquidity and capital position, and generated significant cash flow from operations. They also issued long-term debt, repaid outstanding loans, and returned a substantial amount of money to shareholders through dividends. The company was committed to maintaining its investment-grade ratings and preserving flexibility in capital deployment. However, the company did incur some costs and charges related to acquisitions, office real estate optimization, and restructuring efforts. Nonetheless, they reaffirmed their adjusted earnings per share guidance, indicating confidence in their financial performance.

The call meeting included Karen Lynch, President and Chief Executive Officer, along with other key executives and analysts from various financial institutions. The CEO expressed gratitude towards the team for their commitment and dedication in supporting customers, clients, and patients. The company had demonstrated strong execution and a resilient business model, leading to outstanding performance. They were confident in maintaining momentum throughout 2023 and 2024.