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Michael.Thompson


Phillips 66's Strategic Shift: Prioritizing Value Creation for Long-Term Success

2023-08-04

In the recent earning call meeting, the President of the company, along with financial analysts, delved into various aspects of the company's refining, midstream, marketing, and commercial operations. The meeting shed light on the company's significant shift in mindset towards value creation, which emerged as the most intriguing topic of discussion. Mark Lashier, the President and Chief Operating Officer, emphasized the transition from a cost-focused approach to one centered on generating the most value. This change in mindset was evident in the employees' commitment to continuous improvement in their work.

To support this shift, the company implemented a value chain optimization (VCO) organization that operates across its refineries. VCO representatives actively collaborate with refinery leadership teams to optimize and coordinate operations with other refineries, aiming to create synergies and maximize value throughout the organization. This strategic change is not viewed as a temporary adjustment but rather a fundamental transformation in how the company conducts its business going forward.

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This deep-dive analysis of the company's mindset shift and focus on value creation reveals a strategic realignment in their approach. By prioritizing value creation over cost reduction, the company aims to enhance overall performance and maximize synergies across its operations. The establishment of the value chain optimization organization demonstrates a strong commitment to integrating and coordinating operations for maximum efficiency and value creation. This change in mindset is expected to yield sustainable cost savings and long-term success for the company.

The market outlook for the company appears positive, with strong demand for distillate and jet fuel. Low inventories and increasing domestic and international travel contribute to this favorable outlook. Although global seat demand remains flat compared to 2019 levels, U.S. jet yields are higher, which bodes well for the company's diesel business. Additionally, the widening of heavy crude dips, fall turnarounds in pad 2, and the volume of Canadian crude from Dillon blending are advantageous factors. In terms of the marketing business, the company exceeded expectations in Q2, with successful retail joint ventures and higher margins in domestic and Western European markets. The base oil business in the lubricants segment also performed well. Overall, the company anticipates Q3 earnings to align with mid-cycle expectations, assuming normal seasonal demand.

The key drivers of the company's business include cost optimization, system integration, procurement, maintenance, operations, system optimization, and commercial activities. These factors play a crucial role in driving the company's financial performance and operational success.

Looking ahead, the company provided insights into its outlook for the quarter and the year. The Rodeo Renewed project is expected to proceed as planned, with commercial operation slated to commence in the first quarter of 2024. However, there are three open issues that need resolution with the county and the courts. Although the company has not yet observed any benefit from low water levels in the Rhine River in Western Europe, they anticipate potential advantages if water levels decrease in the third quarter. Furthermore, chain margins in the chemicals sector have been declining due to an imbalance between supply and demand, with high-cost producers in Asia and Europe dictating prices. Nevertheless, the company remains optimistic about the outlook for chemicals, considering factors such as population growth and economies that have not yet operated at full capacity, particularly China.

The meeting included several notable participants, including the President of Refining, Tim Roberts, the Executive Vice President of Midstream, Brian Mandell, and various analysts from financial institutions such as Wells Fargo Securities, JPMorgan Chase and Company, Piper Sandler, Cowen and Company, UBS, Tudor, Pickering, Holt and Company, Scotiabank, and Morgan Stanley. Their presence on the call signifies their keen interest in the company's financial performance and their role in analyzing and providing insights on the company's operations. The diverse group of participants, comprising company executives and analysts from renowned financial institutions, contributed to a comprehensive and insightful discussion during the call meeting.