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James.Roberts


Supply Chain Disruptions and Expansion in China: Johnson Controls' Growth Plans

2023-07-30

In the recent earnings call meeting, the Chairman and CEO of the company expressed confidence in the company's performance and discussed its digital transformation journey and upcoming conferences. The most significant topic discussed was the impact of supply chain disruptions on the company's Global Products division.

During the meeting, the CEO mentioned that a fire in a warehouse within their fire suppression business had a significant impact on their growth rate, reducing it by about 2% to 3%. This incident affected the finished goods they had stored. However, the company is actively working to recover the lost volume in the second quarter, with most of it expected to be recovered by the third quarter.

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Apart from the fire incident, residential demand also had a negative impact of approximately 1% to 2% on the Global Products division. On a positive note, the company is experiencing significant growth in their applied businesses, particularly in China, where they are ramping up their capacity expansion. They have been able to double or triple their volumes in the applied space and are confident in their ability to meet the increased demand.

Overall, the company expects to see an increase in their growth rate as they recover from the fire incident and continue to expand their applied businesses, particularly in China. However, addressing supply chain health issues is crucial to ensure smooth operations and minimize future disruptions.

The market outlook for the company is mixed. The North America residential business has experienced a decline in units due to supply chain disruptions and the launch of a new product. However, the company has seen strong pricing and an increase in their field direct channel. They expect the overall market to continue declining in units but anticipate being in line with the industry and regaining lost market share with supply chain recovery.

The company's key drivers include the integration of systems with OpenBlue, the value proposition of the fire system through service, the impact of supply chain health on revenue, the recovery of volume in the second and third quarters, the demand for residential products, the expansion of applied businesses in China, capacity expansion and visibility to volumes, growth in the pipeline and orders, relevant legislation and policy related to sustainability, and incentives for electrification and renewable supply.

In terms of their product and service plans, the company aims to integrate systems into one solution with OpenBlue, focus on providing value through service offerings in the fire and security sectors, recover their supply chain and expand capacity, and anticipate an increase in orders, particularly in the sustainability sector driven by relevant legislation and policies.

The company's outlook for the quarter and year ahead appears to be positive. The CEO and CFO express optimism about the company's prospects, citing a resilient backlog, strong service mix, and significant opportunities in non-residential activity. They expect margin expansion, improved free cash flow, and positive cash flow in the second quarter. The company is confident in its outlook and remains committed to reinvesting in new products and technology to drive long-term shareholder value.

In conclusion, the company's earnings call meeting highlighted the impact of supply chain disruptions on their Global Products division, as well as their efforts to recover and expand in key markets such as China. Despite market challenges, the company remains optimistic about their prospects and confident in their ability to execute their growth plans.