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Alexandra.Mitchell


Strong Growth in Girls' Category and Footwear Sales: Positive Outlook for Tilly's

2023-09-08

In a recent earnings call meeting, company executives discussed various important topics related to the company's operations and future plans. One of the key highlights of the meeting was the significant improvement in sales performance in the girls' category and footwear segment.

The President and CEO expressed satisfaction with the improvement in the girls' category compared to the previous year, attributing it to an enhanced assortment that catered to the preferences of female customers. This positive performance in the girls' category indicates the company's success in meeting the demands of its female customer base and driving growth in this particular segment.

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Furthermore, the company reported consistently strong footwear sales throughout the year, with popular brands like Nike and Converse playing a significant role in driving business. This success in capturing market demand for footwear highlights the company's strong presence in this product category.

The President and CEO also expressed confidence in the company's product pipeline for the upcoming holiday season. The new merchandising leadership has made changes to the assortment based on the right trends and identified opportunities within the business. This proactive approach to adapting to market demands positions the company to have a strong assortment of products for the holiday season, potentially leading to increased sales and profitability.

However, the discussion also shed light on the challenges faced by the company in seasonal categories such as shorts, swimwear, and sandals due to heavy promotional activity. Increased competition and price sensitivity among customers have impacted these categories, requiring further analysis of the company's strategies and the effectiveness of their promotional activities.

Overall, the improvement in the girls' category and footwear sales, along with the company's proactive approach to product assortment, indicate positive growth prospects. However, the impact of heavy promotional activity in certain seasonal categories should be closely monitored to ensure sustained profitability.

During the meeting, the company's market outlook was described as mixed, with fluctuations in performance during the back-to-school shopping season. While there were both positive and negative results, the majority of back-to-school shopping has already been completed. The company's comp dynamics showed a decline in both traffic and transactions, but the average transaction value slightly increased. Gross margins are expected to remain relatively flat in the third quarter, with occupancy costs causing deleverage. Product margins are anticipated to be somewhat lower than the previous year's third quarter but improved compared to the second quarter. Overall, the market outlook suggests a challenging environment with mixed results.

The company's plans for product and service include adjusting the holiday assortment to focus on stronger brands and managing inventory tightly in line with sales trends to reduce inventory per square foot. Additionally, the company has finalized lease decisions for the year and has a pipeline for store expansion, with the possibility of opportunistic additions. Lease renewals will continue to be scrutinized to ensure future economic viability.

Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) discussed in the meeting included comparable sales (comps), product pipeline, and seasonal categories. Positive comps were observed in the girls' and footwear categories for the second quarter, indicating growth and performance compared to the previous year. The company expressed confidence in the product pipeline for the upcoming holiday season, with changes being made to the assortment based on trends and identified opportunities. The performance of seasonal categories such as shorts, swimwear, and sandals was also discussed, with improvements seen in the second quarter and continued growth in August. The company anticipated a narrower decline in product margins compared to the previous year in the third quarter.

Looking ahead, the company provided its outlook for the quarter, including total net sales expected to be in the range of approximately $166 million to $171 million. SG&A expenses are projected to be approximately $50 million, and the pre-tax loss is estimated to be in the range of approximately $1.8 million to $4.3 million. The company anticipates a loss per share in the range of $0.05 to $0.11. Additionally, the company expects to have 249 total stores open at the end of the quarter, an increase of two from the previous year.

In conclusion, the earnings call meeting provided insights into the company's improving trend in performance, the impact of the new Chief Marketing Officer on the holiday assortment, inventory management strategies, lease decisions, and positive economics observed in lease renewals. The company will be sharing its third-quarter results at the end of November, allowing for a more comprehensive assessment of its performance and future prospects.