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Emily.Davis


ConocoPhillips: Strong Q1 Results and Positive Market Outlook

2023-07-30

ConocoPhillips, a leading energy company, held its first quarter 2023 earnings conference call to discuss its performance and address questions from participants. During the meeting, the company's leadership team covered several important topics, including maintenance and turnaround activities, its strategy for balancing VROC buyback and general flexibility, and the market outlook.

One of the most interesting discussions revolved around ConocoPhillips' strategy for navigating the volatility in the commodity environment. The Chairman and CEO, Ryan Lance, acknowledged the current market volatility but expressed confidence in delivering $22 billion in cash for the year. He emphasized that the company would not overreact to the volatility and highlighted their strong balance sheet to support their plans. ConocoPhillips plans to return $11 billion to shareholders through a mix of 50% shares and 50% VROC. The VROC for the third quarter is set at $0.60 a share, showcasing the company's cautious approach to market conditions and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

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The company's market outlook remains positive, driven by its strong performance in the first quarter. Despite some maintenance and turnaround activities impacting production, ConocoPhillips exceeded expectations with early well production and consistently positive well results. The company attributed the lower-than-anticipated maintenance impact to increased operational efficiency and successful expansion in the Eagle Ford Sugarloaf field. However, there were some timing issues related to turnarounds in Qatar. Looking ahead, ConocoPhillips expects a full-year average impact from turnarounds of about 15,000 BOE per day, with an anticipated impact of 10,000 to 15,000 BOE per day in the second quarter.

ConocoPhillips outlined its plans for improving capital efficiency and execution efficiency in its product/service offerings. The company is utilizing technology such as simul-frac, e-frac, and remote frac to enhance drilling and completion efficiency. Additionally, data analytics and rig automation are being employed in their drilling operations. ConocoPhillips aims to invest in projects with a cost of supply less than $40 WTI in their portfolio, emphasizing their commitment to maximizing returns.

During the meeting, the company discussed several key performance indicators (KPIs), including production volume, efficiency, turnaround impact, and full-year production guidance. ConocoPhillips highlighted its first-quarter production beat and the expected impact of maintenance and turnaround activities on production levels throughout the year. The company attributed its lower maintenance impacts to operational efficiency, particularly in the Eagle Ford Sugarloaf expansion. They also discussed the impact of planned turnarounds and maintenance activities on daily production volumes, with specific mention of expected impacts in the second quarter and throughout the full year. ConocoPhillips revised its full-year production guidance range to 1.78 million to 1.8 million barrels per day.

Overall, ConocoPhillips has a positive outlook for the quarter and year. The company reported strong first-quarter results, with record production and growth in the Lower 48 segment. They expressed confidence in their outlook for the rest of the year and increased their full-year production guidance. ConocoPhillips remains focused on delivering returns on capital and aims to be top quartile in the S&P 500. They are on track to deliver their planned return of capital for 2023 and are optimistic about their performance and growth prospects.

The company also provided updates on its strategic initiatives. ConocoPhillips announced plans to become an upstream operator and is considering purchasing an additional stake in the project. They have also accelerated their greenhouse gas emissions intensity reduction target and are advancing their net zero operational emissions ambition. With a deep, durable, and diversified asset base, ConocoPhillips is well positioned to generate solid returns in cash flow for the long term.

The participants in the ConocoPhillips Q1 2023 earnings call included Ryan Lance (Chairman and CEO), Bill Bullock (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer), Dominic Macklon (Executive Vice President of Strategy, Sustainability, and Technology), Nick Olds (Executive President of Lower 48), Andy O'Brien (Senior Vice President of Global Operations), and Tim Leach (Advisor to the CEO). Their insights and updates provided valuable information on the company's performance and future plans.

In conclusion, ConocoPhillips' first quarter 2023 earnings call highlighted the company's cautious approach to market volatility, positive market outlook, and focus on improving operational efficiency. With strong first-quarter results and increased production guidance, the company is well positioned for growth and aims to deliver returns on capital for its shareholders. ConocoPhillips' strategic initiatives further demonstrate its commitment to sustainability and long-term value creation.