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Alexandra.Morgan


Expedia Group's Optimistic Outlook for Growth and Expansion

2023-07-30

Expedia Group held its Q1 2023 earnings call, where executives discussed the company's growth in supply and plans for future expansion. One of the key topics of the meeting was the completion of the Vrbo migration, which is expected to unlock solid growth in supply for the company.

During the meeting, the company's focus on growth initiatives and resource allocation was highlighted. As the year progresses, the workload related to big projects will decrease, allowing the company to redirect its talented workforce towards near-term generative growth initiatives. This strategic approach aims to drive conversion growth, improve the customer experience, and ultimately increase revenue.

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The company plans to allocate more resources towards near-term uplift in the business once the big projects are completed, which is expected to result in efficiency gains. The speaker cited the example of Hotels.com, where the company successfully freed up talent to work on near-term conversion wins, leading to significant productivity improvements.

While the impact of these initiatives on financials is yet to be determined, the company emphasized the importance of overcoming current challenges to achieve future separation relative to the cost base. This indicates the company's focus on long-term growth and its willingness to invest resources to achieve it.

According to the CEO, the market outlook for the company is positive. They expect the year to be stronger, especially after the rollout of One Key. The company has confidence in its marketing leverage, which includes building it up over time, adding product benefits, and completing technical work. They believe they have maintained or slightly improved their hotel share in North America and plan to expand internationally as they enhance their products and marketing model. The company is also investing more in their big three brands and reducing focus on smaller brands, anticipating that customers will migrate to the larger brands over time. Overall, the company is optimistic about its growth prospects and believes it is well-positioned for success in the market.

The key drivers of the business discussed in the meeting include marketing leverage, maintaining or improving share in the North American hotel market, international expansion, emphasis on big three brands, and B2B growth.

In terms of product and service plans, the company aims to innovate and improve its air product by introducing features such as price tracking and predictions, smart shopping, and AI-based suggestions for customers. They also plan to increase attach rates and packaging by offering attractive package rates for partners and deploying member flight member discounts. Additionally, the company plans to expand its product offerings across brands by selling Vrbo content on OTA brands and through B2B partners.

During the meeting, the most important key performance indicators (KPIs) discussed were marketing leverage, U.S. hotel share, international expansion, and the launch of One Key. Marketing leverage refers to the effectiveness of the company's marketing strategies in driving growth and increasing market share. U.S. hotel share indicates the company's performance in maintaining or gaining market share in the North American hotel market. International expansion reflects the company's focus on expanding its presence and market share beyond North America. The launch of One Key in July was also discussed, highlighting its impact on smaller brands and the company's strategy of emphasizing their big three brands while managing the performance of smaller brands.

Looking ahead, the company's outlook for the quarter is for year-over-year top-line growth to moderate in the short-term to mid-single digits. There may be some short-term disruption to Vrbo due to its migration to the core Expedia stack. The company plans to invest in marketing to drive gross bookings, increase loyalty membership, and app usage. EBITDA margins in the second quarter are expected to be relatively in line with last year. However, the company is optimistic about the start of 2023, with record revenue and cash flow. They believe the travel industry is strong and growing, and their growth initiatives are gaining momentum, positioning them well for long-term growth and shareholder returns.

In conclusion, Expedia Group's Q1 2023 earnings call highlighted the company's focus on growth initiatives, resource allocation, and the completion of the Vrbo migration. The company is optimistic about its growth prospects, with plans for international expansion, emphasis on big three brands, and B2B growth. The launch of One Key and the company's product/service plans also contribute to their positive outlook. Despite some short-term disruptions, the company believes it is well-positioned for long-term growth and shareholder returns in the travel industry.